Thursday, December 4, 2014

2015 Compilation MLB Draft Board #1

by: Ben Embry

It's finally that time of year when I issue the first compilation ranking for the next MLB Draft.  It's a little thing I like to do to stay up on who the big names are in the draft pool.  What I do is take rankings from 5 different sources that I trust the most on the subject of draft prospects and I compile them into one board.  I'll publish links below that will have last year's boards if anyone's interested in seeing those.

Ok, here's the first 2015 board:

Rnk Name Pos School
1 Brendan Rodgers SS H.S.
2 Brady Aiken SP JUCO
3 Michael Matuella SP Duke
4 Walker Buehler SP Vandy
5 Kyle Funkhouser SP Louisville
6 Kolby Allard SP H.S.
7 Dansby Swanson SS Vandy
8 Nathan Kirby SP Virginia
9 Daz Cameron OF H.S.
10 Nick Plummer OF H.S.
11 Justin Hooper SP H.S.
12 Alex Bregman SS/2B LSU
13 Carson Fulmer SP Vandy
14 Ian Happ 2B/OF Cincinnati
15 Trenton Clark OF H.S.
16 Cody Ponce SP Cal Poly P
17 Kyle Cody SP Kentucky
18 Chris Betts C H.S.
19 Ashe Russell SP H.S.
20 Mike Nikorak SP H.S.
21 Phil Bickford SP JUCO
22 Jake Lemoine SP Houston
23 Riley Ferrell RP TCU
24 DJ Stewart OF Fla State
25 Richie Martin SS Florida
26 Alonzo Jones 2B/OF H.S.
27 Beau Burrows SP H.S.
28 Dillon Tate SP UC Santa B
29 Gio Brusa OF Pacific
30 Garrett Whitley OF H.S.
31 Kyle Tucker OF H.S.
32 Kyler Murray SS H.S.
33 Chris Shaw 1B Boston Col
34 Chandler Day SP H.S.
35 James Kaprielian SP UCLA
36 Tyler Jay RP Illinois
37 Demi Orimoloye OF H.S.
38 Austin Smith SP H.S.
39 Alex Young SP TCU
40 Luken Baker SP/1B H.S.
41 Ryan Cole McKay SP H.S.
42 Donny Everett SP H.S.
43 Cornelius Randolph 3B H.S.
44 Marcus Brakeman SP Stanford
45 Kyle Molnar SP H.S.
46 Joe McCarthy OF Virginia
47 Triston McKenzie SP H.S.
48 Kevin Newman SS Arizona
49 Greg Pickett OF H.S.
50 Steven Duggar OF Clemson
51 Juan Hillman SP H.S.
52 Jon Harris SP Mo. State
53 Joe DeMers SP H.S.
54 Andrew Suarez SP Miami
55 Cadyn Grenier SS H.S.
56 Mikey White SS Alabama
57 Kep Brown OF H.S.
58 Skye Bolt OF UNC
59 Tate Matheny OF Mo. State
60 Jahmai Jones 2B/OF H.S.
61 Nick Shumpert SS H.S.
62 Christian Stewart OF Tennessee
63 Bryce Denton OF/3B H.S.
64 Mitchell Hansen OF H.S.
65 Corey Zangari SP H.S.
66 Daniel Reyes OF H.S.
67 Garrett Wolforth C H.S.
68 Josh Staumont SP Azusa Pac.
69 Donnie Dewees OF UNF
70 Cole Sands SP H.S.
71 Cornelius Randolph 3B H.S.
72 Kyri Washington OF Longwood
73 Ryan Perez SP H.S.
74 Gray Fenter SP H.S.
75 Thomas Szapuski SP H.S.

It looks and sounds as if the top 3 players in this year's draft are HS SS Brendan Rodgers, JUCO LHP Brady Aiken, and Duke RHP Mike Matuella.  Rodgers is projected to hit for power and average from the right side of the plate and has the ability to stick at SS. Aiken is the 2014 #1 overall pick that would be an Astro right now were it not for concerns over an MRI revealed abnormalities in his pitching elbow; those results are controversial and may or may not scare other teams. Matuella is a bit of an unknown despite having played 2 years for an ACC school. He's 6'7 with a FB that runs 93-97 and has 2 above average to plus breaking balls and an average change so if he performs well this year he'll go early.

The Yankees currently have the 18th pick of the draft. That could go up if Miami, San Diego, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Milwaukee, or Toronto sign a qualified free agent.  I wouldn't count on SD or TB signing a QFA but the others could. Or it's possible NY signs a QFA and their 1st rd pick disappears all together. If someone other than the Yankees sign David Robertson before the draft, they'll receive a compensatory pick to follow the first round, (probably in the low 30s after all of the QFA signings shake out). Or they could lose that two if they sign a second QFA.  SO MANY POSSIBILITIES!

A quick look at the board shows there's some college pitching in the neighborhood of New York's first pick. While I always want them to take the best player available, deep down I'd like to see a college starter taken early since starting pitching is the farm system's weakness in my opinion. They could go high schooler with upside with their comp pick.

My next comp board will likely be available in March after preliminary scouting reports will impact the inputs, (who are listed below), for my comp board. And if/when New York makes a significant signing this winter I'll weigh in with my thoughts on that.

Baseball America (Clint Longnecker - sub req'd)

ESPN.com (Keith Law and Chris Crawford - sub req'd)

Fangraphs (Kiley McDaniel)

MLB.com (Jim Callis and Jon Mayo)

Draft to the Show (Chris Crawford)

 

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